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· 제목 : A Predictive System for International Trade Growth (KIEP Working Paper 16-03)
· 분류 : 국내도서 > 사회과학 > 정치학/외교학/행정학 > 정책/행정/조직
· ISBN : 9788932242545
· 쪽수 : 40쪽
· 분류 : 국내도서 > 사회과학 > 정치학/외교학/행정학 > 정책/행정/조직
· ISBN : 9788932242545
· 쪽수 : 40쪽
목차
Executive Summary
1. Introduction
2. Overview of the Conventional Productive Regression
3. Model Spectication
3-1 Comparison with a Conventional Predictive Regression
3-2 Why Does the Predictive System Produce Better Forecasting Performance?
4. Estimation Procedure
4-1 A State-Space Representation
4-2 Forecasting Evaluation
5. Empirical Application
5-1 Data
5-2 The Preictability of the Export Growth Rate
5-3 The Predictability of the Import Growth Rate
6. Conculusion and Policy Omplications
References
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