Decision Making in Natural Resource Management : A Structured, Adaptive Approach (Paperback)

List of boxes xi

Preface xiii

Acknowledgements xiv

Guide to using this book xv

Companion website xvii

PART I. INTRODUCTION TO DECISION MAKING 1

1 Introduction: Why a Structured Approach in Natural Resources? 3

2 Elements of Structured Decision Making 13

3 Identifying and Quantifying Objectives in Natural Resource Management 24

4 Working with Stakeholders in Natural Resource Management 57

PART II. TOOLS FOR DECISION MAKING AND ANALYSIS 77

5 Statistics and Decision Making 79

6 Modeling the Infl uence of Decisions 147

7 Identifying and Reducing Uncertainty in Decision Making 192

8 Methods for Obtaining Optimal Decisions 232

PART III. APPLICATIONS 261

9 Case Studies 263

10 Summary, Lessons Learned, and Recommendations 294

PART IV. APPENDICES 307

Appendix A Probability and Distributional Relationships 309

Appendix B Common Statistical Distributions 317

Appendix C Methods for Statistical Estimation 339

Appendix D Parsimony, Prediction, and Multi-Model Inference 373

Appendix E Mathematical Approaches to Optimization 384

Appendix F Guide to Software 430

Appendix G Electronic Companion to Book 432

Glossary 433

Index 449