Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making (Hardcover)

List of Contributors.

Introduction.

Part I: Reasoning.

Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T. Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley).

Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J. Newton).

Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan and Keith Stenning).

Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals (Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow).

Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (Guy Politzer).

Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and Nick Chater).

Part II: Judgment.

Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability (Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun).

Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi, Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N. Johnson-Laird).

Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (Laura Macchi).

Chapter 10: Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch, Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster).

Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd).

Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock).

Part III: Decision Making.

Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision Making (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J. Bown).

Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty (Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See).

Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision Making (Robert M. Hamm).

Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability (Gideon Keren and W¨andi Bruine de Bruin).

Author Index.

Subject Index.