Forecasting Economic Time Series (Paperback)

1. An introduction to economic forecasting; 2. First principles; 3. Evaluating forecast accuracy; 4. Forecasting in univariate processes; 5. Monte Carlo techniques; 6. Forecasting in co-intergrated systems; 7. Forecasting with large-scale macro-econometric models; 8. A theory of intercept corrections: beyond mechanistic forecasts; 9. Forecasting using leading indicators; 10. Combining forecasts; 11. Multi-step estimation; 12. Parsimony; 13. Testing forecast accuracy; 14. Postscript.