How to Find a Needle in a Haystack : From the Insider Threat to Solo Perpetrators (Paperback)

Acknowledgments. Preface. 1 The Needle Challenge: From Shipping Vessels to the Insider Threat. 2 What Is a Needle in a Haystack?: A Lesson from Miss Lucy and Vladimir Putin. 3 How Are Rare Events Formed?: Modeling through the Galton Machine. 4 Crying Wolf: False Alarms and Their Price. 5 Why Is It Difficult to Find the Needle?: On Rare and Common Paths. 6 Why Do We Fail to Find the Needle?: The Binary Fallacy and the Bayesian Approach. 7 How to Reduce the Size of the Haystack: On Impostors, Cats, and False Positives. 8 Needles in the Wild: Some Lessons from Nature. 9 Lupus and the Needle: A Contextual-Dynamic Approach to the Needle Challenge. 10 How to Deal with Tiny Datasets: The Power of AI. 11 Concluding Discussion: Isolated Lights in the Abyss of Ignorance. Index.