Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science (Paperback)

1. Introduction; 2. Descriptive statistics: data and information; 3. Observable data and data-generating processes; 4. Probability theory: basic properties of data-generating processes; 5. Expectation and moments: summaries of data-generating processes; 6. Probability and models: linking positive theories and data-generating processes; 7. Sampling distributions: linking data-generating processes and observable data; 8. Hypothesis testing: assessing claims about the data-generating process; 9. Estimation: recovering properties of the data-generating process; 10. Causal inference: inferring causation from correlation; Afterword: statistical methods and empirical research.