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· 분류 : 외국도서 > 인문/사회 > 사회과학 > 미래학
· ISBN : 9781594512315
· 쪽수 : 256쪽
· 출판일 : 2006-02-15
목차
Chapter 1: Action in the Face of Uncertainty The Three Questions Elaborated How Should Our Study Proceed? Chapter 2: Global Change Types of Change Conclusion Chapter 3: Values and Understandings Values and Goals Causal Analysis Causal Understandings and Worldviews Conclusion Chapter 4: Understanding and Using IFs Use of IFs I: Data Analysis And Display Use of IFs II: Undertaking Scenario Analysis Elements of the Model Conclusion Chapter 5: Population Population Dynamics and Leverage Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 6: Economics Economic Dynamics and Leverage Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 7: Food and Agriculture Food and Agriculture Dynamics and Leverage Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 8: Energy Energy Dynamics and Leverage Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 9: The Environment Environmental Dynamics and Leverage Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 10: Domestic Social and Political Systems Sociopolitical Dynamics and Leverage Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 11: The Global Sociopolitical System Global System Dynamics and Leverage Points Interventions and Scenario Analysis Conclusion Chapter 12: Preferred Futures Contemporary Global Transformations Integrated Global Scenarios Integrations Scenarios: Common Elements Creating Futures by Making Choices















