The Next War: Indications Intelligence in the Early Cold War (Hardcover)

Introduction: The War of 196?
Indications of the Third World War
The Last War

Section 1: Imminence of War

Chapter 1: A Third World War in the Making?
Partner or Prophylactic?
World War Three?
Toward a Shared Appreciation
The Cold War Begins
First Try
The Importance of Combined Intelligence
US-Canadian Differences
US-Canadian Agreement
JIC 1 (Final)
An American Attack?
Conclusion

Chapter 2: Agreed Intelligence
The Threat to North America
War Planning
ACAI (American-Canadian Agreed Intelligence)
Towards ABC Intelligence
The First and Last ABCI Conference
ABCI 15
Part I of ABCI 15
Putting ABCI Part 1 to Use
Aftermath
Soviet Intentions
A Fresh Start

Chapter 3: The Most Important Question
The Greatest Danger T
he Meaning of Korea
Now or Later
The Politics of Danger
The Canadian View from Abroad
The End of Imminence
From "Imminence" to "Risks"
The Likelihood of War
Comparison with the US & UK
Evidence
The World Turns

Section 2: Indications of War

Chapter 4: The Origins of Indications Intelligence
US Origins, 1948-1950
United Kingdom and Canada (1950-53)
A Model for Americans and Canadians (1953-54)

Chapter 5: The Tripartite Intelligence Alerts Agreement
Injecting Words of Caution
A Canadian Indications Room
Waiting for an American Response
Bilaterals and Trilaterals
Building an Indications Room in Ottawa
Agreement

Chapter 6: The Alerts Agreement in Action
Communications Issues
How to and When to Invoke the Agreement
Building a Canadian Indications Room, Part 2
The Canadians Want to Go Global
Setting the Indicator List
The Crisis of 1958
The First ALE Message
The Berlin Crises, and the Broken Cables
The Canadian Indications Procedure
The Cuban Missile Crisis

Conclusion: A Semi-Dormant but Continuing Agreement

Bibliography
Acknowledgements
End
Notes
Index