A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System: Theory and Evidence: Intellectual Odyssey III (Paperback, Softcover Repri)

1. Multiple Paths to Knowledge A. INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEW Origins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies - Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis B. MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICT Advocates and Critics Rationale Diversity in International Studies C. INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and Themes Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I) Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II) Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State System Foreign Policy System International System Foreign Policy Crisis International Crisis Unified Model of Crisis Crisis Severity Crisis Impact Protracted Conflict Polycentrism 2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems A. CORE CONCEPTS International Crisis and Protracted Conflict Severity and Impact B. SYSTEM AND CRISIS International System Systemic Crisis Berlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49 India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66 Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages 3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework A. UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISIS Conceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-Escalation Impact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact B. CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURE Recent Additions to Crisis-Conflict Project Overview of Findings 4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises Dataset: 29 Cases Context Dimensions Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved Debate General Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, Alternatives Findings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism Unipolycentrism Coping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation - Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises 5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining Acts Perceptual Calculus Catalyst Hypotheses on Conflict Resolution 6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas A. AFRICA Chad/Libya Ethiopia/Somalia Western Sahara B. AMERICAS Costa Rica/Nicaragua 7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam 8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East A. EUROPE Finland/Russia-USSR Poland/Russia-USSR B. MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq 9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region Georgia/Russia-USSR Inter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait 10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict? Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution 11. Critique of International Studies A. SHORTCOMINGS Intolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind Menta