Credit Risk Pricing Models: Theory and Practice (Hardcover, 2, 2004)

1. Introduction.- 1.1 Motivation.- 1.2 Objectives, Structure, and Summary.- 2. Modeling Credit Risk Factors.- 2.1 Introduction.- 2.2 Definition and Elements of Credit Risk.- 2.3 Modeling Transition and Default Probabilities.- 2.3.1 The Historical Method.- 2.3.2 Excursus: Some Fundamental Mathematics.- 2.3.3 The Asset Based Method.- 2.3.4 The Intensity Based Method.- 2.3.5 Adjusted Default Probabilities.- 2.4 Modeling Recovery Rates.- 2.4.1 Definition of Recovery Rates.- 2.4.2 The Impact of Seniority.- 2.4.3 The Impact of the Industry.- 2.4.4 The Impact of the Business Cycle.- 2.4.5 LossCalcTM: Moody's Model for Predicting Recovery Rates.- 3. Pricing Corporate and Sovereign Bonds.- 3.1 Introduction.- 3.1.1 Defaultable Bond Markets.- 3.1.2 Pricing Defaultable Bonds.- 3.2 Asset Based Models.- 3.2.1 Merton's Approach and Extensions.- 3.2.2 First Passage Time Models.- 3.3 Intensity Based Models.- 3.3.1 Short Rate Type Model.- 4. Correlated Defaults.- 4.1 Introduction.- 4.2 Correlated Asset Values.- 4.3 Correlated Default Intensities.- 4.4 Correlation and Copula Functions.- 5. Credit Derivatives.- 5.1 Introduction to Credit Derivatives.- 5.2 Technical Definitions.- 5.3 Single Counterparty Credit Derivatives.- 5.3.1 Credit Options.- 5.3.2 Credit Spread Products.- 5.3.3 Credit Default Products.- 5.3.4 Par and Market Asset Swaps.- 5.3.5 Other Credit Derivatives.- 5.4 Multi Counterparty Credit Derivatives.- 5.4.1 Index Swaps.- 5.4.2 Basket Default Swaps.- 5.4.3 Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs).- 6. A Three-Factor Defaultable Term Structure Model.- 6.1 Introduction.- 6.1.1 A New Model For Pricing Default able Bonds.- 6.2 The Three-Factor Model.- 6.2.1 The Basic Setup.- 6.2.2 Valuation Formulas For Contingent Claims.- 6.3 The Pricing of Defaultable Fixed and Floating Rate Debt.- 6.3.1 Introduction.- 6.3.2 Defaultable Discount Bonds.- 6.3.3 Defaultable (Non-Callable) Fixed Rate Debt.- 6.3.4 Defaultable Callable Fixed Rate Debt.- 6.3.5 Building a Theoretical Framework for Pricing One-Party Defaultable Interest Rate Derivatives.- 6.3.6 Defaultable Floating Rate Debt.- 6.3.7 Defaultable Interest Rate Swaps.- 6.4 The Pricing of Credit Derivatives.- 6.4.1 Some Pricing Issues.- 6.4.2 Credit Options.- 6.4.3 Credit Spread Options.- 6.4.4 Default Swaps and Default Options.- 6.5 A Discrete-Time Version of the Three-Factor Model.- 6.5.1 Introduction.- 6.5.2 Constructing the Lattice.- 6.5.3 General Interest Rate Dynamics.- 6.6 Fitting the Model to Market Data.- 6.6.1 Introduction.- 6.6.2 Method of Least Squared Minimization.- 6.6.3 The Kalman Filtering Methodology.- 6.7 Portfolio Optimization under Credit Risk.- 6.7.1 Introduction.- 6.7.2 Optimization.- 6.7.3 Case Study: Optimizing a Sovereign Bond Portfolio.- A. Some Definitions of S&P.- A.1 Definition of Credit Ratings.- A.1.1 Issue Credit Ratings.- A.1.2 Issuer Credit Ratings.- A.2 Definition of Default.- A.2.1 S&P's definition of corporate default.- A.2.2 S&P's definition of sovereign default.- B. Technical Proofs.- B.1 Proof of Lemma 6.2.1.- B.3 Proofs of Lemma 6.3.1 and Lemma 6.4.2.- B.4 Proof of Lemma 6.4.3.- B.5 Tools for Pricing Non-Defaultable Contingent Claims.- C. Pricing of Credit Derivatives: Extensions.- List of Figures.- List of Tables.- References.