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· 분류 : 외국도서 > 과학/수학/생태 > 수학 > 확률과 통계 > 시계열
· ISBN : 9781597183062
· 쪽수 : 446쪽
· 출판일 : 2020-03-02
목차
Just enough Stata Getting startedAll about dataLooking at dataStatisticsOdds and endsMaking a dateTyping dates and date variablesLooking ahead Just enough statistics Random variables and their momentsHypothesis testsLinear regressionMultiple-equation modelsTime series Filtering time-series dataPreparing to analyze a time seriesThe four components of a time seriesSome simple filtersAdditional filtersPoints to remember A first pass at forecastingForecast fundamentalsFilters that forecastPoints to rememberLooking ahead Autocorrelated disturbancesAutocorrelationRegression models with autocorrelated disturbancesTesting for autocorrelationEstimation with first-order autocorrelated dataEstimating the mortgage rate equation Points to remember Univariate time-series modelsThe general linear processLag polynomials: Notation or prestidigitations?The ARMA modelStationarity and invertibilityWhat can ARMA models do?Points to rememberLooking ahead Modeling a real-world time seriesGetting ready to model a time seriesThe Box-Jenkins approachSpecifying an ARMA modelEstimationLooking for trouble: Model diagnostic checkingForecasting with ARIMA modelsComparing forecastsPoints to rememberWhat have we learned so far?Looking ahead Time-varying volatilityExamples of time-varying volatilityARCH: A model of time-varying volatility Extensions to the ARCH modelPoints to remember Model of multiple time seriesVector autoregressionsA VAR of the U.S. macroeconomyWho’s on first?SVARsPoints to rememberLooking ahead Models of nonstationary times seriesTrend and unit rootsTesting for unit rootsCointegration: Looking for a long-term relationshipCointegrating relationships and VECMFrom intuition to VECM: An examplePoints to rememberLooking ahead Closing observationsMaking sense of it allWhat did we miss?Farewell References