Broad Scale Coastal Simulation: New Techniques to Understand and Manage Shorelines in the Third Millennium (Paperback, Softcover Repri)

Chapter 1 - The Challenge for Coastal Management During the Third Millennium Summary 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Coastal Management in the Third Millennium: The Need for an Integrated Response 1.3 Conceptualizing and Designing a Coastal Simulator 1.4 Scenarios for Coastal Assessment 1.5 The Study Sites 1.6 Conclusions and Next Steps Acknowledgements References Chapter 2 - Climate Downscaling: Local Mean Sea-Level, Surge and Wave Modelling Summary 2.1 Introduction 2.2. Regional Scale Variability in Climate and Sea Level 2.3. Storms in the Present and Future Climate 2.4. Model Forcing from Hadley Centre Climate Model 2.5. Surge and Wave Models and the Downscaling Methodology 2.6. Model Results for Future Climate Scenarios 2.7. Conclusions and Next Steps Acknowledgements References Chapter 3 - Broad-Scale Hydrodynamic Simulation, Wave Transformation and Sediment Pathways Summary 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Methodology for Transferring Waves and Surge Towards the Coastline and Assessing Residual Sediment Transport 3.3 Changes in Inshore Waves Due to Climate Change and Sea Level Rise 3.4 Influence of Sea Level Rise on Sediment Pathways 3.5. Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 4 - Land Use Dynamics and Coastal Management Summary 4.1. Introduction 4.2. Modelling Land Use Change in Coastal Areas 4.2.1 Challenges 4.2.2 Spatial Dynamic Modelling: Some Principles 4.2.3 Socio-Economic Storylines 4.3. Translating Socio-Economic Storylines with an Algorithm-Based Approach 4.4. Translating Socio-Economic Storylines with A Choice-Based Approach 4.5. Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 5 - Evaluating Broad-Scale Morphological Change in the Coastal Zone Using a Logic Based Behavioural Systems Approach Summary 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Capturing Current Knowledge and Understanding 1.3 Illustrative Application to the East Anglian Coast, UK 1.4 Benefits of a Qualitative Deductive Assessment 1.5 Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 6 - Coastal Wetland Habitats: Future Challenges and Potential Solutions Summary 6.1 Introduction 6.2 The Tyndall Simulator Approach 6.3 Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 7 - Simulating the Shore and Cliffs of North Norfolk Summary 7.1 Introduction 7.2 Description of the Coast 7.3 Model Construction 7.4 Future Climate Change and Coastal Management 7.5 Results 7.6 Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 8 - Broad Scale Coastal Inundation Modelling Summary 8.1 Intr oduction 8.2 Approaches to Coastal Inundation Modelling 8.3 Application to North Norfolk 8.4 Conclusions and Next Steps Acknowledgements References Chapter 9 - Broad Scale Flood and Erosion Risk Analysis Chapter 10 - Visualising Potential Coastal Change: Communicating Results Using Visualisation Techniques Summary 10.1 Introduction - Challenges Associated with Communicating and Visualising Coastal Change 10.2 The Coastal Simulator - Visualisation Approach(Es) 10.3 Exploring Coastal Futures - Testing the Visualisations in Coastal Decision-Making and Stakeholder Engagement 10.4 Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 11 - The Coastal Simulator Interface: Integration and Application Chapter 12 - Many Stakeholders, Multiple Perspectives: Long-Term Planning for a Future Coast Summary 12.1 Introduction 12.2 The Challenges of a Changeable Coast: North Norfolk, UK 12.3 Stakeholder Engagement in the Development of the Tyndall Coastal Simulator 12.4 Shifting Sands: Lessons Learned for Managing a Changing Coast 12.5 Conclusions and Next Steps References Chapter 13 - Living with Uncertainty: Difficult Choices for Coastal Management in the UK During the Third Millennium Summary 13.1 Introduction 13.2 Re-Visiting the Response to the 1953 Event 13.3 How the Simulator Appr