러시아의 엘리트 변동과 양자관계 : 한국, 카자흐스탄, 북한, 중국, 일본

책을 펴내며 ··························································································· 7

제1장 대안적 국제관계 동학 분석틀: ‘엘리트 변수 중심, 동태적 국제관계 분석 모델’
주장환 (한신대학교 동아시아통상학전공·유라시아연구소)
Ⅰ. 서론 ················································································ 15
Ⅱ. 엘리트 변수 중심, 동태적 국제관계 변화 분석 모델 ········· 18
Ⅲ. 미중관계의 변화: 트럼프 1기와 바이든 행정부 시기 ········· 23
Ⅳ. 결론 ················································································ 34

제2장 문명과 권력의 재편: 병렬적 권역질서 속 한국과 러시아의 길
연담린 (한국국방연구원)
Ⅰ. 서론 ················································································ 43
Ⅱ. 연구방법 ·········································································· 44
Ⅲ. 푸틴 집권기 엘리트와 한러관계 변화 ······························· 55
Ⅳ. 결론 ················································································ 72

제3장 러시아-카자흐스탄 관계에 대한 비판적 실재론적 이해
김시헌 (한국외국어대학교 국제지역대학원)
Ⅰ. 서론 ··············································································· 79
Ⅱ. 비판적 실재론과 동태적 양국 관계 모델 ························· 82
Ⅲ. 러시아 의존적 양국 관계 ················································ 88
Ⅳ. 카자흐스탄의 러시아 의존 감축 시도 ······························ 98
Ⅴ. 결론 ············································································· 113

제4장 병렬적 권역질서와 북러 관계의 동아시아적 구현
연담린 (한국국방연구원)
Ⅰ. 서론 ············································································· 133
Ⅱ. 이론적 배경과 분석 방법 ·············································· 134
Ⅲ. 러시아의 세계전략과 한반도 ········································· 146
Ⅳ. 북러관계 구조 변화와 국제정치적 함의 ························· 160
Ⅴ. 결론 및 정책 제언 ······················································· 169

제5장 중러관계와 정치엘리트: 마오쩌둥-흐루쇼프 관계 파탄이 시진핑-푸틴 시대에 주는 함의
김선재 (제주대학교 정치외교학과)
Ⅰ. 서론 ·············································································· 177
Ⅱ. 신고전현실주의와 권위주의 외교정책 ······························ 180
Ⅲ. 마오쩌둥과 흐루쇼프의 관계 파탄과 중소분쟁 ················· 187
Ⅳ. 분석 및 함의 ································································· 197

제6장 일본의 정치엘리트 변동과 대(對)러시아 외교
김성조 (연세대학교 동아시아국제학부)
Ⅰ. 서론 ·············································································· 207
Ⅱ. 이론적 논의 ··································································· 209
Ⅲ. 일본 대 러시아 외교정책의 배경 ···································· 214
Ⅳ. 사례연구 ········································································ 217
Ⅴ. 결론 ·············································································· 232