한반도 중장기 정세 변동 및 정책 도전 관련 요인의 식별 책 가격비교

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· 제목 : 한반도 중장기 정세 변동 및 정책 도전 관련 요인의 식별 (2015~2030) (21세기 통일시대 준비를 위한 대전략, KINU 연구총서 15-10)
· 분류 : 국내도서 > 사회과학 > 통일/북한관계 > 북한학 일반
· ISBN : 9788984798090
· 쪽수 : 385쪽

요약 ·························································································ⅸ

Ⅰ. 서론 1

Ⅱ. 동북아 정세 9

1. 머리말 ··········································································11

2. 주요국의 외교안보전략 ·················································14

3. 동북아 양자 및 다자관계 ·············································26

4. 동북아 미래 시나리오 ··················································54

5. 전망과 고려 사항 ························································75

Ⅲ. 북한의 대내외 관계 105

1. 머리말 ········································································107

2. 대남정책의 측면 ·························································108

3. 권력 재편의 측면 ·······················································146

4. 경제정책과 현황의 측면 ·············································165

5. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································172

Ⅳ. 인구 추세 189

1. 머리말 ········································································191

2. 인구 현황 ···································································192

3. 향후 추세: 2015~2030년 ········································205

4. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································217

Ⅴ. 정보통신의 내부 확산 233

1. 머리말 ········································································235

2. 현황 ···········································································237

3. 향후 추세 ···································································260

4. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································280

Ⅵ. 기후변화와 자연재해 299

1. 머리말 ········································································301

2. 세계기후의 변화 현황과 예측 ····································302

3. 한반도의 기후변화 실태와 전망 ·································305

4. 북한의 현황과 대처능력 ·············································314

5. 전망과 고려 사항 ·······················································327

Ⅶ. 요약 그리고 정책 고려 사항 353

참고문헌 ················································································367

최근 발간자료 안내 ·······························································379

저자소개

박형중 (지은이) 정보 더보기

통일연구원 선임연구위원 독일 마부륵대학교(Phillips-Universitaet zu Marburg) 정치학 박사 대표 저서 및 논문으로는 『김정은시대의 정치와 외교: 선군인가 선경인가』(2014), 『북한에서 국가재정의 분열과 조세 및 재정체계』(2013), 『북한 부패 실태와 반부패 전략』(2012), 『북한‘변화’의 재검토와 대북정책 방향』(2010), 「김정은 시대 북한의 정치와 경제의 동학」(2014), 「김정은 정권의 핵 및 대남 정책 방향 진단」(2014), 「북한은 왜 붕괴도 개혁개방도 하지 않았을까?」(2013), 「북한의 ‘새로운 경제관리체계’(6·28방침)의 내용과 실행 실태」(2013) 등이 있다.

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